RDpalMundo
0xacf18c295b865482dbe347f06496c9cb170c374f
- Realised P&L
- $6.26
- Volume
- $141.27
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $22.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.695 | $10.75 | +$2.55 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.655 | $4.58 | +$0.46 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.510 | 0.655 | $3.93 | +$0.87 |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.565 | $2.83 | +$0.13 |
| Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.90at 0.392Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$4.42at 0.379Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:26 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-20 18:03 | Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $8.20 |
| 09-15 22:12 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.59 | $4.13 |
| 09-13 02:57 | Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.48 | $5.28 |
| 09-06 21:59 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.56 |
| 09-03 01:49 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.06 |
| 09-03 01:46 | Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.37 | $4.07 |
| 08-26 02:15 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-26 01:51 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 08-25 12:23 | Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999717 | $7.00 |