sucuk-mit-ei
0xaceaf91ad4e59b4663fa0a9b3913fa82d4848b97
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $846.0k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $12.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.9kat 0.351Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5
- +$6.0kat 0.327Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$3.5kat 0.410Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$3.4kat 0.293US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.513Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 23:47 | Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.74 | $103.60 |
| 10-28 23:46 | Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.7389834443 | $223.18 |
| 10-28 23:46 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.16 | $271.95 |
| 10-27 10:35 | Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.739 | $186.96 |
| 10-27 10:34 | Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.738 | $3.69 |
| 10-27 10:34 | Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.738 | $168.40 |
| 10-27 10:34 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.162 | $210.60 |
| 10-27 10:33 | Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.55 | $53.00 |
| 10-27 10:33 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.163 | $197.39 |
| 09-26 19:33 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.78 | $57.39 |
| 09-26 19:33 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 09-26 19:33 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 09-26 19:25 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.77 | $42.50 |
| 09-26 19:25 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.76 | $30.32 |
| 09-26 19:24 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.75 | $26.40 |