PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sucuk-mit-ei

0xaceaf91ad4e59b4663fa0a9b3913fa82d4848b97

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$846.0k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$12.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.6520.760$8.0k+$1.1k
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4640.730$1.9k+$688.60
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes0.9550.599$841.00−$499.68
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes0.7790.579$781.60−$270.78
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.3190.300$540.00−$34.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.5470.640$384.00+$56.00
Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government? · No0.9870.983$336.01−$1.39
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes0.6050.575$111.26−$5.82
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? · Yes0.2550.105$21.00−$30.00
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? · Yes0.2030.170$6.39−$1.23
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$36.44
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00−$276.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00−$269.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · No0.6820.000$0.00−$1.0k
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00−$106.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 23:47Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.74$103.60
10-28 23:46Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.7389834443$223.18
10-28 23:46Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.16$271.95
10-27 10:35Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.739$186.96
10-27 10:34Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.738$3.69
10-27 10:34Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.738$168.40
10-27 10:34Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.162$210.60
10-27 10:33Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.55$53.00
10-27 10:33Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.163$197.39
09-26 19:33Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.78$57.39
09-26 19:33Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.77$23.10
09-26 19:33Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.78$15.60
09-26 19:25Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.77$42.50
09-26 19:25Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.76$30.32
09-26 19:24Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.75$26.40