sucuk-mit-ei
0xaceaf91ad4e59b4663fa0a9b3913fa82d4848b97
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $803.7k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $12.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.9kat 0.351Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5
- +$3.5kat 0.410Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$3.4kat 0.293US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.513Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
- +$3.3kat 0.466Spread: Senegal (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:57 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.38 | $49.19 |
| 08-08 12:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $220.00 |
| 08-08 12:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 08-07 23:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $510.00 |
| 08-07 23:29 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $830.00 |
| 08-02 10:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.33 | $78.06 |
| 07-31 22:32 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.29 |
| 07-27 20:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $800.00 |
| 07-23 23:57 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.22 | $43.56 |
| 07-23 23:55 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.189 | $1.89 |
| 07-22 23:23 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.131 | $45.84 |
| 07-22 12:19 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.158 | $62.41 |
| 07-20 19:55 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.129 | $1.22 |
| 07-19 21:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 07-18 22:49 | France vs. England: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.5320263704 | $143.65 |