0xace58db0f4596c01b231211b16bea2e95a067ab0
0xace58db0f4596c01b231211b16bea2e95a067ab0
- Realised P&L
- $9.22
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $164.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.941 | 0.968 | $164.56 | +$4.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.00at 0.973Will the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on March 16?
- +$2.38at 0.985MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$1.86at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.63at 0.995Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
- +$0.60at 0.990Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 02:40 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $161.53 |
| 05-02 06:26 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $159.22 |
| 03-31 05:30 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $156.62 |
| 03-19 10:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? | BUY | 0.995 | $156.22 |
| 03-18 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on March 19? | BUY | 0.997 | $148.55 |
| 03-18 03:18 | 76ers vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 03-17 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 03-16 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on March 16? | BUY | 0.973 | $145.95 |
| 03-15 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 03-15 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 03-15 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $92.58 |