0x8A8966594A68b0667507D5B786c41a55dcD950a8-1776185885479
0xacdfac8a7d959bcf9b63cd8d5cc38a728850d7e3
- Realised P&L
- $-46.32
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 628
- Open portfolio
- $11.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded628
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.675 | $4.45 | −$0.56 |
| Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.545 | $2.65 | +$0.17 |
| Spread: Packers (-7.5) · Falcons | 0.590 | 0.605 | $1.18 | +$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · No | 0.970 | 0.960 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C · Paper Rex | 0.590 | 0.575 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.635 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 24? · No | 0.780 | 0.130 | $0.17 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.03at 0.538Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
- +$10.05at 0.103Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$9.80at 0.521HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu
- +$7.89at 0.621Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$7.56at 0.566Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 19:38 | Spread: Packers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5899998615 | $1.15 |
| 09-22 17:51 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999442 | $1.09 |
| 09-22 17:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998924 | $1.13 |
| 09-22 17:48 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999525 | $1.28 |
| 09-22 17:48 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999195 | $1.51 |
| 09-22 17:48 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.5099997987 | $1.14 |
| 09-22 17:47 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:47 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.5099999962 | $1.34 |
| 09-22 02:23 | Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:38 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 24? | BUY | 0.7799998764 | $1.01 |
| 09-20 08:12 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.01 |
| 09-19 20:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 22? | BUY | 0.7679998403 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999577 | $1.05 |
| 09-18 22:08 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6099999712 | $1.06 |
| 09-18 20:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |