zmf666
0xacd31af0e1e02bfdd6ba3fb0a2b8119c38bd5171
- Realised P&L
- $-279.13
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $151.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.570 | 0.585 | $122.59 | +$3.14 |
| Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $28.93 | −$1.07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down | 0.474 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.88 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$146.45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$141.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.44at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$48.51at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$44.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$39.92at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$25.50at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 04:41 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5699999987 | $119.45 |
| 10-13 04:40 | Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399999995 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 08:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $0.96 |
| 05-10 19:27 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF? | BUY | 0.1799998691 | $1.10 |
| 05-10 19:24 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.13 |
| 05-10 16:22 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.229999973 | $6.48 |
| 03-18 04:48 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.55 |
| 03-15 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $28.01 |
| 03-14 06:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $46.50 |
| 03-11 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $24.22 |
| 03-09 16:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.499302635 | $48.37 |
| 03-09 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $26.82 |
| 03-08 19:59 | Magic vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.6490032483 | $29.21 |