bigbugbug
0xacc89c9489c278a7832fe01ad7c26e3281fb59c5
- Realised P&L
- $-543.48
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $239.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.34at 0.594LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$87.00at 0.130Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
- +$52.81at 0.616LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
- +$40.88at 0.858LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
- +$35.41at 0.743Over $1M committed to the Printr public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 12:05 | StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.64 | $26.87 |
| 08-29 12:15 | Umia listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.91 | $31.85 |
| 08-26 09:59 | Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.884 | $2.68 |
| 08-15 09:29 | Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6305418719 | $20.00 |
| 08-13 14:45 | Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.699999895 | $6.00 |
| 08-12 13:24 | Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 09:20 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.899999595 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 09:20 | StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.62531015 | $20.00 |
| 08-08 14:08 | Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 15:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 14:35 | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7199999539 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 13:28 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0649999712 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 13:27 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 13:26 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0634781976 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 13:25 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |