PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

REDALARM

0xacc841a647ddd586bfd2f4d5b82bf60019983434

Realised P&L
$51.90
Volume
$29.4k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$258.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0940.125$184.42+$45.10
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0440.050$45.45+$5.46
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.002$11.25$3.74
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0190.018$9.74$0.26
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0050.002$7.25$18.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:34Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0155339806$1.00
09-17 14:34Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$2.00
09-17 14:32Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$10.00
09-17 14:31Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.019$10.00
09-17 14:31Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$3.00
09-17 14:30Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0052428565$25.00
09-17 14:30Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.639$54.47
08-29 22:36Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.15$12.00
08-29 22:35Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.15$15.00
08-29 22:35Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.032$29.09
07-07 21:54Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7122962628$60.73
07-07 19:24Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.9699734555$61.39
05-30 14:52Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.12$26.07
05-30 14:51Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0439999995$80.00
05-30 14:51Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.03$113.68