568eu45ryuththfg
0xacc3ef9637c2b371d4f780b55c3c2c6613ba3160
- Realised P&L
- $119.51
- Volume
- $182.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,316
- Open portfolio
- $64.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,316
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.085 | $64.92 | −$35.08 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$242.39at 0.717Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$230.10at 0.726Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$217.17at 0.719Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
- +$214.39at 0.738Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$197.64at 0.703Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 20:36 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 20:10 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 16:28 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.75 | $105.00 |
| 07-11 15:28 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $10.24 |
| 07-11 15:26 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.48 | $10.08 |
| 07-10 18:24 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5949999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 16:52 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6049999983 | $100.00 |
| 03-27 14:00 | Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | BUY | 0.1309398761 | $100.00 |
| 02-27 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | SELL | 0.3140928205 | $61.25 |
| 02-27 22:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.760083 | $149.49 |
| 02-15 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999996 | $99.71 |
| 02-15 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999999 | $99.94 |
| 02-15 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $99.96 |
| 02-15 01:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 02-15 01:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $99.82 |