sorano
0xacc224ff646328b0d396fa326eacf9766560fbfd
- Realised P&L
- $-615.28
- Volume
- $173.6k
- Markets traded
- 262
- Open portfolio
- $57.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded262
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.557 | 0.555 | $16.13 | −$0.06 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · New York Yankees | 0.450 | 0.445 | $12.89 | −$0.14 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Atlanta Braves | 0.390 | 0.380 | $9.50 | −$0.25 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.550 | 0.555 | $9.44 | +$0.09 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Atlanta Braves | 0.340 | 0.325 | $8.13 | −$0.38 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · San Diego Padres | 0.440 | 0.445 | $1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.42 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$390.58 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.75 |
| Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.50 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.75 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$345.00 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals · Miami Marlins | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$480.73at 0.679England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
- +$350.02at 0.402England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$328.32at 0.657Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
- +$273.35at 0.756Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$264.81at 0.314Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 00:03 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.5 | $24.99 |
| 10-01 02:03 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | SELL | 0.43 | $10.74 |
| 10-01 00:03 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.55 | $3.11 |
| 09-04 01:58 | Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals | SELL | 0.9176517274 | $39.31 |
| 09-04 01:52 | Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL | 0.999 | $7.02 |
| 09-04 01:52 | Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.35 | $8.75 |
| 09-04 01:48 | Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.13 | $3.25 |
| 07-19 18:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.41 | $204.99 |
| 07-17 17:50 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.5 | $399.35 |
| 07-17 12:37 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.42 | $210.00 |
| 07-17 11:38 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.3 | $150.00 |
| 07-16 06:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.579 | $5.79 |
| 07-15 15:47 | Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.40 |
| 07-15 15:41 | Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $46.80 |
| 07-14 19:19 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3525 | $176.25 |