PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sorano

0xacc224ff646328b0d396fa326eacf9766560fbfd

Realised P&L
$-615.28
Volume
$173.6k
Markets traded
262
Open portfolio
$57.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded262
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers0.5570.555$16.13−$0.06
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · New York Yankees0.4500.445$12.89−$0.14
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Atlanta Braves0.3900.380$9.50−$0.25
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays0.5500.555$9.44+$0.09
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Atlanta Braves0.3400.325$8.13−$0.38
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · San Diego Padres0.4400.445$1.59+$0.02
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers · Tampa Bay Rays0.0370.000$0.00−$0.99
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$0.42
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.5530.000$0.00−$390.58
Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 · Under0.4100.000$0.00−$30.75
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners0.8600.000$0.00−$21.50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5 · Over0.0700.000$0.00−$1.75
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 · Over0.6900.000$0.00−$345.00
Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals · Miami Marlins0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 · Under0.8000.000$0.00−$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 00:03Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesSELL0.5$24.99
10-01 02:03Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego PadresSELL0.43$10.74
10-01 00:03Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesSELL0.55$3.11
09-04 01:58Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City RoyalsSELL0.9176517274$39.31
09-04 01:52Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesSELL0.999$7.02
09-04 01:52Athletics vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.35$8.75
09-04 01:48Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.13$3.25
07-19 18:30Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.41$204.99
07-17 17:50Will France win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.5$399.35
07-17 12:37Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5SELL0.42$210.00
07-17 11:38Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5SELL0.3$150.00
07-16 06:12Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.579$5.79
07-15 15:47Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.03$2.40
07-15 15:41Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.4$46.80
07-14 19:19Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3525$176.25