RlJkJdn
0xacc154c4cdcc26f953485506ddb8ea0f38f3a904
- Realised P&L
- $72.92
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $43.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.405 | $43.94 | +$8.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.25at 0.304Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$12.92at 0.607Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.36at 0.575Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?
- +$7.57at 0.495Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$3.55at 0.595Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:57 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 10-11 16:39 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.6299999615 | $4.75 |
| 10-11 16:39 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.34 | $5.04 |
| 10-10 13:55 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.3899999977 | $8.53 |
| 10-10 13:33 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.88 |
| 10-10 12:09 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.579999982 | $5.16 |
| 09-25 18:29 | Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.54 |
| 09-25 16:21 | Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.3499999896 | $8.43 |
| 09-25 16:19 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.69 | $8.80 |
| 09-25 13:07 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.6999999922 | $8.93 |
| 09-22 12:41 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.3099999997 | $31.45 |
| 09-19 14:33 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.72 | $25.77 |
| 09-19 14:23 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.4799999955 | $17.18 |
| 09-06 17:34 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.31 |
| 09-06 16:07 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.5599999982 | $12.51 |