0xacc080585208e162c2c083a7457ae6ddca67441d
- Realised P&L
- $-382.19
- Volume
- $22.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $104.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.080 | $58.16 | −$14.54 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.032 | $31.50 | −$18.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.025 | $12.89 | −$87.10 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.015 | $1.45 | −$2.55 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.00 |
| Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first? · Bitcoin | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 16? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 16? · No | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 22:25 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $72.70 |
| 06-11 22:24 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 03-22 22:03 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 03-16 18:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 03-16 18:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 03-12 17:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 19:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $15.00 |
| 01-25 18:34 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 01-23 22:15 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 0.0233154299 | $40.00 |
| 01-23 01:18 | Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first? | BUY | 0.1 | $40.00 |
| 01-22 17:55 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 01-21 13:41 | Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first? | BUY | 0.199012456 | $90.00 |
| 01-21 13:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |