ellio8989
0xaca23974e2b8131efbafaa1fe03ea9595ea0b9a1
- Realised P&L
- $134.99
- Volume
- $11.86M
- Markets traded
- 2,274
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,274
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$960.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Belgium? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$320.00 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Norway? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$263.34 |
| Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$330.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$377.98 |
| Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 England? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$275.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Czechia? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$374.99 |
| Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$464.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.343 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$137.33 |
| Will France win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.7kat 0.184Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
- +$20.0kat 0.500Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5
- +$17.1kat 0.472Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)
- +$15.4kat 0.232Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
- +$14.2kat 0.453Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 19:15 | Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.2 | $70.00 |
| 10-05 20:16 | Will Italy vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | SELL | 0.16 | $160.00 |
| 10-05 20:06 | Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.33 | $330.00 |
| 10-05 19:22 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Belgium? | BUY | 0.16 | $320.00 |
| 10-05 19:18 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.276683641 | $8.69 |
| 10-05 19:13 | Will Italy vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | BUY | 0.18 | $180.00 |
| 10-04 18:24 | Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.5 | $241.00 |
| 10-04 18:20 | Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.5 | $223.50 |
| 10-04 16:32 | Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Norway? | BUY | 0.073 | $263.34 |
| 10-03 15:25 | Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 England? | BUY | 0.11 | $275.00 |
| 10-03 15:18 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $421.12 |
| 10-03 01:50 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1174824314 | $60.92 |
| 10-03 00:34 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.123105 | $29.55 |
| 10-03 00:33 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1234234234 | $68.50 |
| 10-02 23:27 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.157 | $67.70 |