PolyBot

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Traders

ellio8989

0xaca23974e2b8131efbafaa1fe03ea9595ea0b9a1

Realised P&L
$134.99
Volume
$11.86M
Markets traded
2,274
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,274
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain0.4800.000$0.00−$960.00
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Belgium? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$320.00
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Norway? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$263.34
Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$330.00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$377.98
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 England? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$275.00
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Czechia? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$374.99
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$464.50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.3430.000$0.00−$1.8k
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$137.33
Will France win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.3k
Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 3.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$1.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 19:15Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Spain?BUY0.2$70.00
10-05 20:16Will Italy vs. Türkiye end in a draw?SELL0.16$160.00
10-05 20:06Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.33$330.00
10-05 19:22Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Belgium?BUY0.16$320.00
10-05 19:18Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?SELL0.276683641$8.69
10-05 19:13Will Italy vs. Türkiye end in a draw?BUY0.18$180.00
10-04 18:24Erling Haaland: Anytime GoalscorerBUY0.5$241.00
10-04 18:20Erling Haaland: Anytime GoalscorerBUY0.5$223.50
10-04 16:32Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Norway?BUY0.073$263.34
10-03 15:25Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 England?BUY0.11$275.00
10-03 15:18Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.36$421.12
10-03 01:50Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.1174824314$60.92
10-03 00:34Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.123105$29.55
10-03 00:33Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.1234234234$68.50
10-02 23:27Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.157$67.70