PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SGG4

0xac9ad09b1e6143289c57226a03e220d439ca2286

Realised P&L
$975.46
Volume
$65.9k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6700.630$831.58$52.79
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7650.700$700.00$65.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 15:54Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?SELL0.66$198.00
08-11 11:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.47$141.00
08-11 11:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.53$159.00
08-10 15:11Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.45$67.50
08-10 14:28Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.45$67.50
08-09 10:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.44$132.00
08-07 19:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.210523$21.05
08-07 03:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.8190077$163.80
08-06 17:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.7697999$153.96
07-31 11:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.9601630435$176.67
07-31 11:22Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.961$15.38
07-30 11:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.91164415$182.33
07-29 09:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.946$463.54
07-29 03:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.979777716$176.31
07-29 03:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.9786665833$117.41