SGG4
0xac9ad09b1e6143289c57226a03e220d439ca2286
- Realised P&L
- $975.46
- Volume
- $65.9k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.630 | $831.58 | −$52.79 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.765 | 0.700 | $700.00 | −$65.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$297.98at 0.820Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$152.90at 0.846US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$112.98at 0.433MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$84.00at 0.410Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$68.00at 0.610Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 15:54 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $198.00 |
| 08-11 11:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $141.00 |
| 08-11 11:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $159.00 |
| 08-10 15:11 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $67.50 |
| 08-10 14:28 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $67.50 |
| 08-09 10:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $132.00 |
| 08-07 19:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.210523 | $21.05 |
| 08-07 03:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.8190077 | $163.80 |
| 08-06 17:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7697999 | $153.96 |
| 07-31 11:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.9601630435 | $176.67 |
| 07-31 11:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.961 | $15.38 |
| 07-30 11:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.91164415 | $182.33 |
| 07-29 09:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.946 | $463.54 |
| 07-29 03:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.979777716 | $176.31 |
| 07-29 03:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.9786665833 | $117.41 |