PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

keoen

0xac990f444a5d016a6296227c8e4deefc9b841380

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$73.1k
Markets traded
726
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded726
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.8490.925$370.00+$30.50
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7640.920$285.20+$48.30
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7500.880$198.00+$29.25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8420.962$182.78+$22.78
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1350.660$118.80+$94.54
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.8280.962$105.77+$14.66
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.6680.875$105.09+$24.89
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.7530.958$95.75+$20.45
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · No0.9000.925$92.50+$2.50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8400.865$86.50+$2.50
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.925$69.38+$18.37
OpenAI acquired before 2027? · No0.7100.960$57.57+$14.97
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5390.469$46.94$6.95
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.645$45.15+$5.95
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7700.785$44.16+$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 08:50Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.92$46.00
06-29 21:49Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.83$41.50
06-29 21:48Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.41$28.70
06-29 21:43Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.23$23.00
06-03 19:38GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.09$3.70
05-28 12:31Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.57$14.25
05-11 20:25Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.75$75.00
05-11 07:52Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.82$41.00
05-11 07:51Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.82$41.00
05-06 17:45Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.045$8.10
05-06 17:42Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.01$3.00
05-06 17:37Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.89$89.00
05-06 17:13Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.27$8.10
05-06 14:33Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.049$1.22
05-06 14:33Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.11$6.60