0xac9573109af2507fe31d19495f3911996496acdf
0xac9573109af2507fe31d19495f3911996496acdf
- Realised P&L
- $-8.20
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $2.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 August 24-30? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 17:20 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-22 15:11 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:40 | Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:24 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-15 13:03 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 05:43 | Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-14 16:17 | Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 18:38 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 08-28 12:26 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 05:27 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 12:19 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0050264613 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 09:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 06:19 | Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:56 | Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 21:58 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |