0xA55F58aEe6a1B7d9f50a99C2E3ec9794996e00f2-1772190994925
0xac936ac6ad09b4b07e1e2f7af261ef55f5d99f63
- Realised P&L
- $-258.83
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $3.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.044 | $3.18 | −$6.82 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.25at 0.310Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$0.91at 0.033Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
- +$0.64at 0.113Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.00at 0.210Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$-0.98at 0.118Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 10:06 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | SELL | 0.036 | $10.91 |
| 07-25 00:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY | 0.054999995 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 00:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July? | BUY | 0.0373880349 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 00:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? | BUY | 0.013 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 00:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY | 0.054999995 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 00:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY | 0.054999995 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 00:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July? | BUY | 0.0329999967 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 00:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | BUY | 0.1529999873 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 00:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY | 0.054999995 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 00:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 00:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? | BUY | 0.013 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 00:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July? | BUY | 0.0329999967 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 00:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY | 0.054999995 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 15:28 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.0329999967 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 14:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.3908405669 | $88.25 |