0xac7565eb8cc5d7183c551acc0da728ae997acfca
- Realised P&L
- $-63.83
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $75.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.026 | $71.30 | −$47.93 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.064 | $2.47 | −$4.53 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.040 | $1.91 | −$13.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.31at 0.260US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$34.56at 0.339Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
- +$25.00at 0.400Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
- +$19.28at 0.280US strikes Iraq by March 7?
- +$10.14at 0.690Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 21:37 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.0476121981 | $27.23 |
| 03-30 21:37 | US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.061 | $9.83 |
| 03-30 21:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.0244139324 | $17.52 |
| 03-13 21:49 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | BUY | 0.2530960284 | $17.12 |
| 03-13 21:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $17.13 |
| 03-11 22:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1267847991 | $91.00 |
| 03-11 20:23 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.0423909371 | $92.01 |
| 03-11 20:17 | US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3812912412 | $61.44 |
| 03-07 01:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0147121514 | $36.00 |
| 03-06 10:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.0852703251 | $142.12 |
| 03-04 15:21 | Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | SELL | 0.73 | $64.56 |
| 03-03 22:53 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 03-03 19:50 | US strikes Iraq by March 7? | SELL | 0.55 | $39.28 |
| 03-03 17:02 | Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | BUY | 0.3392085078 | $30.00 |
| 03-03 15:55 | Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | SELL | 0.6 | $75.00 |