PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xac7565eb8cc5d7183c551acc0da728ae997acfca

Realised P&L
$-63.83
Volume
$16.8k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$75.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0430.026$71.30$47.93
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1800.064$2.47$4.53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.3100.040$1.91$13.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-30 21:37Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0476121981$27.23
03-30 21:37US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?SELL0.061$9.83
03-30 21:36Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?SELL0.0244139324$17.52
03-13 21:49Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY0.2530960284$17.12
03-13 21:32Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?SELL0.007$17.13
03-11 22:05Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.1267847991$91.00
03-11 20:23Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0423909371$92.01
03-11 20:17US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?BUY0.3812912412$61.44
03-07 01:52Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0147121514$36.00
03-06 10:33Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?SELL0.0852703251$142.12
03-04 15:21Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?SELL0.73$64.56
03-03 22:53Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.0599999995$100.00
03-03 19:50US strikes Iraq by March 7?SELL0.55$39.28
03-03 17:02Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY0.3392085078$30.00
03-03 15:55Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?SELL0.6$75.00