personal4slim
0xac7439c8a5bad1fb63259fe5e709dab83566cc6e
- Realised P&L
- $-201.25
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 516
- Open portfolio
- $3.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded516
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.90at 0.080Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
- +$4.65at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?
- +$4.00at 0.200Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5
- +$3.50at 0.490Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
- +$3.35at 0.856Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 12:02 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.83 |
| 07-12 12:01 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.83 |
| 07-12 12:01 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.83 |
| 07-12 12:00 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.219 | $1.09 |
| 07-12 03:15 | Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-11 18:54 | Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 07-11 18:54 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.052 | $0.62 |
| 07-11 18:50 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.07 |
| 07-11 18:50 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.21 |
| 07-11 18:50 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 07-11 18:49 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 07-11 18:49 | US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.17 |
| 07-11 18:49 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 07-11 18:49 | Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.799 | $8.79 |
| 07-11 18:49 | Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.84 |