ylds
0xac710fa2a308d86ca95112cc3fe57108c198f209
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $227.8k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $21.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · No | 0.985 | 1.000 | $7.5k | +$114.89 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $5.0k | +$35.00 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.205 | $3.1k | −$2.6k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? · No | 0.974 | 1.000 | $2.0k | +$52.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $1.7k | +$6.65 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? · No | 0.941 | 1.000 | $1.0k | +$59.00 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $60 | 0.650 | 0.780 | $780.00 | +$130.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? · No | 0.974 | 1.000 | $176.19 | +$4.58 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$295.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$830.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.663US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$1.6kat 0.715US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$560.00at 0.720Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
- +$453.83at 0.989Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$440.00at 0.780Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 17:57 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.0k |
| 03-30 17:25 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.955 | $955.00 |
| 03-30 17:24 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.0k |
| 03-20 11:27 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.3k |
| 03-19 17:29 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.0k |