ylds
0xac710fa2a308d86ca95112cc3fe57108c198f209
- Realised P&L
- $232.48
- Volume
- $243.8k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $405.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $60 | 0.650 | 0.406 | $405.50 | −$244.50 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$295.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$830.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.663US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$1.6kat 0.715US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$560.00at 0.720Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
- +$453.83at 0.989Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$440.00at 0.780Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 15:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.1k |
| 03-30 17:57 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.0k |
| 03-30 17:25 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.955 | $955.00 |
| 03-30 17:24 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.0k |
| 03-20 11:27 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.3k |
| 03-19 17:29 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.0k |