mushimushi
0xac6fea80c770201848cf01223cca50c231b19af4
- Realised P&L
- $-57.98
- Volume
- $922.55
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $9.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.029 | $5.70 | −$14.30 |
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.081 | $3.96 | −$17.04 |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.125 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Down | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.06 |
| Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Down | 0.618 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.05at 0.560Discord IPO before 2027?
- +$1.49at 0.770Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
- +$-1.85at 0.130Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$-2.60at 0.200Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?
- +$-5.00at 0.300Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-23 18:28 | Discord IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.902 | $8.05 |
| 02-23 18:27 | Will NewJeans perform again by March 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 02-23 18:27 | Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 02-23 18:27 | Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 02-20 13:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $0.98 |
| 02-20 13:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.106 | $8.15 |
| 02-18 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $0.97 |
| 01-06 11:37 | Will NewJeans perform again by March 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 01-06 10:22 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 01-06 10:21 | Maduro mugshot released by January 16? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 19:43 | Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | BUY | 0.429999991 | $21.00 |
| 01-05 19:42 | Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 19:22 | Discord IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 01-05 19:21 | Maduro mugshot released by January 9? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 01-05 19:21 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $11.00 |