Donny1
0xac6877390a57e5954b5adb34c2e60def89e55650
- Realised P&L
- $-24.97
- Volume
- $587.70
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $9.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.066 | $6.66 | +$5.16 |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.046 | $1.86 | −$0.14 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.233 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.65 |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.91 |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.18at 0.487Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.93at 0.718Anthropic IPO before 2027?
- +$0.42at 0.969Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?
- +$0.25at 0.820Scroll airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.10at 0.940Zircuit airdrop in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 13:49 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.2639998606 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 13:48 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 13:48 | Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $3.06 |
| 09-05 13:48 | OKX IPO in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.10 |
| 09-05 13:48 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $3.97 |
| 07-12 14:19 | Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0148542795 | $1.50 |
| 07-12 14:19 | Stripe IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.049382716 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 14:19 | Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 14:18 | Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 14:18 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 14:18 | OKX IPO in 2026? | BUY | 0.89999976 | $3.00 |
| 05-16 13:09 | Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 13:09 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0649999408 | $1.00 |
| 12-28 13:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 12-28 13:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998999951 | $20.00 |