PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Donny1

0xac6877390a57e5954b5adb34c2e60def89e55650

Realised P&L
$-24.97
Volume
$587.70
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$9.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0150.066$6.66+$5.16
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0490.046$1.86$0.14
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2640.233$0.88$0.12
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? · Yes0.0390.001$0.01$0.99
Ethereum all time high in 2024? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$1.65
Ethereum flipped in 2026? · No0.8100.000$0.00$8.91
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$1.00
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 13:49No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.2639998606$1.00
09-05 13:48Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
09-05 13:48Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?SELL0.94$3.06
09-05 13:48OKX IPO in 2026?SELL0.93$3.10
09-05 13:48Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.94$3.97
07-12 14:19Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?BUY0.0148542795$1.50
07-12 14:19Stripe IPO before 2027?BUY0.049382716$2.00
07-12 14:19Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?BUY0.92$1.00
07-12 14:18Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
07-12 14:18Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.7099999503$3.00
07-12 14:18OKX IPO in 2026?BUY0.89999976$3.00
05-16 13:09Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.005999994$1.00
05-16 13:09Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0649999408$1.00
12-28 13:09Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$20.00
12-28 13:09Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.998999951$20.00