dumbguy
0xac65e23705a693fb2e79a92f9d518ba5af38cfe6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $184.9k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.498Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5
- +$831.48at 0.716UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$654.38at 0.490Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$542.03at 0.577St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5
- +$538.02at 0.505Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 03:43 | UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.53 | $310.05 |
| 10-12 03:41 | Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.69 | $258.06 |
| 10-12 03:40 | Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.68 | $118.15 |
| 10-12 03:39 | Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.66 | $324.54 |
| 10-11 20:54 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $266.64 |
| 10-11 00:24 | UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.52 | $40.04 |
| 10-11 00:14 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6669702725 | $720.00 |
| 10-04 16:55 | Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5009383369 | $470.00 |
| 10-04 16:55 | UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.521662177 | $560.00 |
| 09-28 01:05 | Blackhawks vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.6479759083 | $97.00 |
| 09-25 18:55 | Oilers vs. Canucks | BUY | 0.6272995501 | $82.00 |
| 09-25 18:52 | Spread: Chiefs (-8.5) | BUY | 0.5535680663 | $294.00 |
| 09-25 18:49 | Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $24.00 |
| 09-17 03:46 | SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6952749679 | $980.00 |
| 09-05 16:06 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.3599999998 | $1.2k |