PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaC63EA9a047d8B6610cf2d18e235165C397F8d7E-1775614242407

0xac63ea9a047d8b6610cf2d18e235165c397f8d7e

Realised P&L
$-208.55
Volume
$118.9k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$24.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2540.435$20.21+$8.39
Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.115$4.27−$7.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$19.80
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$19.61
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$297.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$19.80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$19.80
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$9.63
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$2.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$19.80
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$21.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00−$9.80
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$9.80
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$19.61
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$19.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 04:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETSELL0.2$7.97
10-05 04:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.48$19.14
10-05 04:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.6499999833$9.72
10-05 04:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSELL0.77$31.99
10-05 04:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.4599999918$19.11
08-27 13:12Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999841$11.52
07-06 21:06Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.047$18.07
07-06 21:06Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.17$13.89
07-06 21:06Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.03$8.49
06-20 02:12Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4499999797$8.88
06-20 02:11Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1179999896$9.64
06-20 02:11Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0339999966$9.62
06-20 02:11Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$9.61
06-20 02:10Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0609999971$19.25
06-20 02:10Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.073999993$9.63