rorhyn
0xac55018c78f47c67d9b4b42c31d8717667b6ca2f
- Realised P&L
- $-153.75
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $60.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.075 | $20.19 | −$14.81 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.135 | $19.03 | −$6.34 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.023 | $11.31 | −$18.69 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.006 | $5.87 | −$14.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.003 | $4.09 | −$5.91 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.59 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.42at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:23 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999993 | $25.37 |
| 09-14 10:23 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999996 | $35.00 |
| 09-14 10:22 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0609841463 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 10:22 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0204539212 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 10:21 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0061163041 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 21:01 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0742486114 | $7.59 |
| 09-12 21:01 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 21:00 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.2732459533 | $19.08 |
| 09-12 14:06 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999994 | $15.36 |
| 09-12 14:06 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0517770867 | $40.00 |
| 09-12 14:05 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0084834955 | $30.00 |
| 09-12 14:05 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |