HarunaSoshi
0xac52bebeca7f5fa1561fa9ab8da136602d21b837
- Realised P&L
- $-79.12
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $2.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.345 | $2.07 | −$1.11 |
| Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.527 | 0.655 | $0.66 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.86at 0.108Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
- +$3.20at 0.910Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$3.20at 0.930Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$3.15at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$2.80at 0.920Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 21:52 | Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.86 |
| 02-22 04:22 | Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 02-22 04:22 | Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 02-22 04:21 | Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 02-22 04:20 | Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 02-22 04:20 | Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 02-16 06:38 | Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? | SELL | 0.83 | $6.96 |
| 02-15 22:20 | Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? | SELL | 0.81 | $8.09 |
| 02-15 12:42 | Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.69 |
| 02-15 07:10 | Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.19 |
| 02-15 06:01 | Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? | SELL | 0.73 | $4.38 |
| 02-15 05:06 | Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 02-15 04:11 | Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? | SELL | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 02-15 04:06 | Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? | SELL | 0.74 | $4.65 |
| 02-15 03:22 | Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.89 |