luciferrrr
0xac4fe4bf016b5a05c25829d6a6c18729f17fd526
- Realised P&L
- $-46.18
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $0.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Down | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up | 0.363 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.99 |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner · BNK FEARX | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up | 0.287 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Up | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Down | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.08at 0.252Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$42.43at 0.611Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
- +$20.52at 0.636Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$17.64at 0.775Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$15.37at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 00:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:39 | Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.349999993 | $25.00 |
| 09-03 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.349999993 | $25.00 |
| 09-03 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3462352778 | $24.99 |
| 09-03 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $109.25 |
| 09-03 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |