PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

badbias

0xac4f7c9518eeeb74d863a0fa5146c193779cf7e8

Realised P&L
$7.1k
Volume
$898.4k
Markets traded
1,323
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,323
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? · Yes0.2601.000$1000.00+$740.00
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30? · Yes0.3541.000$568.00+$366.70
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? · Yes0.1760.125$262.25$107.15
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.2290.230$161.81+$0.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.6290.000$0.00$282.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.0530.000$0.00$7.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Down0.7090.000$0.00$352.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET · Down0.1720.000$0.00$1.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00$2.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Down0.5550.000$0.00$19.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.6140.000$0.00$131.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.6310.000$0.00$534.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Down0.6350.000$0.00$399.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00$1.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Down0.5760.000$0.00$52.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 23:50Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?BUY0.28$306.60
05-19 20:45Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?BUY0.09$54.80
05-19 20:42Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?BUY0.176072421$369.40
05-19 19:01Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.3165043798$177.41
05-19 19:00Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.369229266$1.9k
05-19 18:49Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.19$1.3k
05-19 18:32Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.218752046$1.1k
05-19 17:37Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?BUY0.0956372935$243.11
05-19 17:37Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?BUY0.0973809524$204.50
05-19 17:37Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?BUY0.2105834306$180.47
05-19 17:35Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?BUY0.3544014085$201.30
05-19 17:29Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?BUY0.18$27.00
05-19 17:28Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?BUY0.27680289$111.49
05-19 17:25Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.3477963831$218.09
01-03 05:05Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.67$3.35