0xaC4bf736747ED293e1EFDB99600D3F7B2E6C1509-1780759940132
0xac4bf736747ed293e1efdb99600d3f7b2e6c1509
- Realised P&L
- $-49.58
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $19.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.580 | 0.575 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.405 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $4.92 | −$0.08 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) · Manchester City FC | 0.600 | 0.575 | $4.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.643 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) · Sweden | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) · Brazil | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) · Uruguay | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.30at 0.114Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$28.94at 0.166Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.21at 0.604Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.19at 0.184Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$18.84at 0.447Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 07:20 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 07:18 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 07:17 | Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 07:17 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 10:26 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 10:26 | AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 10:26 | Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 10:19 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 10:13 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:11 | Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:09 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 02:08 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 09:01 | Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 04:01 | Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 01:36 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |