PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaC48884EF9BD929D4a7BBB741AcbD72CDF3350D1-1773431221532

0xac48884ef9bd929d4a7bbb741acbd72cdf3350d1

Realised P&L
$-4.66
Volume
$28.6k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$19.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? · Yes0.9940.996$19.92+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29?BUY0.99375$19.88
07-06 07:22Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.003$6.00
06-29 07:12Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$8.04
06-22 06:38Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.16
05-15 08:16Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.006$9.54
05-11 04:11Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.006$9.24
04-30 09:39Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.008$5.04
04-30 08:13Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$5.67
04-15 07:02Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.01$9.70
04-12 09:42Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.008$6.88
04-11 05:34Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.011$9.46
04-09 08:55Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.011$1.04
04-02 08:20Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$9.52
03-17 07:55Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.977$620.39