0xac44a02b69c95f555ee9c0ab1df1056a5e01f676
0xac44a02b69c95f555ee9c0ab1df1056a5e01f676
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.829 | 0.735 | $886.11 | −$113.89 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.551 | 0.385 | $785.94 | −$339.06 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.075 | $500.00 | −$499.99 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 4? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.91 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.80 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 29? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.66at 0.782Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
- +$40.29at 0.597Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on August 31?
- +$10.04at 0.666Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.934Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?
- +$-265.64at 0.705Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 August 24-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? | BUY | 0.3799999961 | $34.91 |
| 09-16 05:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $250.00 |
| 09-10 12:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.769999999 | $229.16 |
| 09-10 12:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $3.00 |
| 09-10 12:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $240.31 |
| 09-10 01:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 18:23 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 4? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 08-30 13:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999999 | $220.00 |
| 08-30 13:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 08-30 13:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 08-30 13:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 August 24-30? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.64 |
| 08-30 13:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August? | SELL | 0.011 | $5.50 |
| 08-30 13:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 August 24-30? | SELL | 0.02 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 13:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 August 24-30? | SELL | 0.03 | $6.00 |
| 08-30 13:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August? | SELL | 0.13 | $215.28 |