Lydiaghm
0xac4363b08fe21d23f164941bebf09065aba0e84d
- Realised P&L
- $54.92
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $75.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · No | 0.310 | 1.000 | $64.00 | +$44.16 |
| Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.455 | $11.83 | +$0.13 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.60 |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) · Colombia | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.94 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Team WE | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.82 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$421.60at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$408.36at 0.500Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?
- +$168.32at 0.500Will the next Government of Canada be led by another party or coalition?
- +$161.53at 0.500Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$47.27at 0.225Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:02 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $11.70 |
| 09-04 02:56 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.31 | $19.84 |
| 08-20 12:07 | Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-04 08:08 | Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.44 | $24.20 |
| 07-22 11:32 | LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.33 | $17.82 |
| 07-03 08:39 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $51.95 |
| 07-03 08:39 | Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | BUY | 0.42 | $23.94 |
| 07-03 08:37 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.00 |
| 06-26 02:17 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5 | $18.00 |
| 06-08 09:16 | Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 06-08 09:16 | Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.997 | $27.92 |
| 05-29 01:48 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? | BUY | 0.42 | $28.85 |
| 05-20 02:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.987 | $37.96 |
| 05-20 02:00 | Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.22 | $13.42 |
| 05-20 01:58 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $38.00 |