0xAc3c170938C1AC477E9C9c63967EcA6ddc629526-1770597813677
0xac3c170938c1ac477e9c9c63967eca6ddc629526
- Realised P&L
- $35.93
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $1.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? · Dune 3 | 0.085 | 0.028 | $1.62 | −$3.38 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.84at 0.374Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$51.31at 0.383Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$21.83at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$21.00at 0.321Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
- +$18.51at 0.368Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 02:25 | Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | BUY | 0.0850138246 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 10:24 | Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | SELL | 0.1835644615 | $8.13 |
| 07-03 19:50 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 19:49 | Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 03:51 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 09:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $12.00 |
| 05-11 09:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 04-29 02:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7399998964 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 09:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $4.42 |
| 04-26 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $4.49 |
| 04-26 09:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $5.71 |
| 04-26 09:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $4.45 |
| 04-26 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $6.43 |
| 04-26 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $4.48 |
| 04-26 09:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $4.49 |