PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAc3c170938C1AC477E9C9c63967EcA6ddc629526-1770597813677

0xac3c170938c1ac477e9c9c63967eca6ddc629526

Realised P&L
$-19.55
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$6.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? · Dune 30.0850.114$6.68+$1.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Down0.1320.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Up0.2100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.0080.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Down0.0630.000$0.00−$7.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 09:14Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.0045287628$5.00
10-22 09:14Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.0669999997$5.00
10-22 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETSELL0.3243206913$13.51
10-22 09:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.119999999$5.00
10-22 09:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-22 08:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSELL0.02$5.00
10-22 08:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.02$5.00
10-22 08:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETSELL0.1662191901$3.78
10-22 08:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.2199999974$5.00
10-20 22:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSELL0.2$5.00
10-20 22:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.2$5.00
10-20 19:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.2599999896$5.00
10-20 19:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSELL0.67$9.30
10-20 19:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.3599999971$5.00
10-20 19:27Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSELL0.32$8.33