Poopsie
0xac34ba6d4b63779394c44b9b0dc71db587d82c89
- Realised P&L
- $-30.0k
- Volume
- $393.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.086 | $6.5k | +$2.5k |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$779.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.260Will Trump say "Springfield" at debate?
- +$857.25at 0.420Will JD Vance say "vaccine" during the Joe Rogan podcast?
- +$703.80at 0.530Bills vs. Jets
- +$611.11at 0.450Dolphins vs. Bills
- +$374.15at 0.560Will the Lions beat the Cardinals by 3 or more points?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-28 03:53 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 03-28 03:48 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $710.00 |
| 03-04 01:40 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.0178924647 | $2.0k |
| 03-03 14:16 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.1514923237 | $2.2k |
| 03-03 01:00 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2131294804 | $1.1k |
| 03-03 01:00 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2061653248 | $1.1k |
| 03-03 01:00 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.210844095 | $800.00 |
| 03-03 00:59 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2073209262 | $1.5k |
| 03-03 00:58 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.0k |
| 03-03 00:48 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2389600921 | $6.7k |
| 03-03 00:47 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.1882183766 | $6.0k |
| 02-07 17:05 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0615555099 | $318.72 |
| 02-05 16:33 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0652107743 | $899.55 |
| 02-05 01:46 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0559999999 | $550.89 |
| 02-04 16:32 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0549612088 | $563.65 |