Poopsie
0xac34ba6d4b63779394c44b9b0dc71db587d82c89
- Realised P&L
- $-32.5k
- Volume
- $439.8k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $17.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.305 | $4.6k | −$485.89 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.339 | 0.295 | $4.5k | −$674.03 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.285 | $4.5k | −$546.88 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.057 | $4.3k | +$277.56 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$779.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.260Will Trump say "Springfield" at debate?
- +$857.25at 0.420Will JD Vance say "vaccine" during the Joe Rogan podcast?
- +$703.80at 0.530Bills vs. Jets
- +$611.11at 0.450Dolphins vs. Bills
- +$374.15at 0.560Will the Lions beat the Cardinals by 3 or more points?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:37 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.1k |
| 10-29 16:37 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.1k |
| 10-29 16:34 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.0k |
| 10-09 16:48 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3930939753 | $2.1k |
| 10-09 16:47 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $2.0k |
| 03-28 03:53 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 03-28 03:48 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $710.00 |
| 03-04 01:40 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.0178924647 | $2.0k |
| 03-03 14:16 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.1514923237 | $2.2k |
| 03-03 01:00 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2131294804 | $1.1k |
| 03-03 01:00 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2061653248 | $1.1k |
| 03-03 01:00 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.210844095 | $800.00 |
| 03-03 00:59 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2073209262 | $1.5k |
| 03-03 00:58 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.0k |
| 03-03 00:48 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2389600921 | $6.7k |