moonsniper13
0xac319ef6e8bf0844150a135a6531f6127c7dd452
- Realised P&L
- $-588.97
- Volume
- $23.9k
- Markets traded
- 709
- Open portfolio
- $19.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded709
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 5? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $19.99 | +$0.19 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 18? · No | 0.979 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? · No | 0.989 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.39at 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$23.60at 0.458Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$23.49at 0.458Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$13.92at 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$12.71at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 04:51 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 10-02 10:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 10-01 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-30 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.978999999 | $4.90 |
| 09-30 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 12:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.9809999994 | $19.80 |
| 09-23 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-23 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9829999992 | $4.95 |
| 09-22 12:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.9845501213 | $19.80 |
| 09-22 12:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.9891743119 | $5.39 |
| 09-22 12:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.9889999996 | $19.80 |
| 09-22 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.9879999992 | $4.95 |
| 09-22 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.04 |