0xaC310C9920913C00224fEeCc13C15E701bEB42c6-1768483553362
0xac310c9920913c00224feecc13c15e701beb42c6
- Realised P&L
- $19.36
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $6.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.820 | 0.875 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · No | 0.720 | 0.685 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.974 | 0.908 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $6B? · No | 0.940 | 0.860 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.980 | 0.890 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.986 | 0.883 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.840 | 0.555 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on February 27? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21? · No | 0.443 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.979 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.986 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.500Clavicular sentenced to prison?
- +$9.38at 0.941Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
- +$7.53at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$5.99at 0.865Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?
- +$5.60at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 23:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9411764706 | $150.00 |
| 07-17 23:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | SELL | 0.974 | $94.72 |
| 07-17 23:23 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by July 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $52.43 |
| 07-11 01:16 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by July 31? | BUY | 0.8199999908 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 01:16 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31? | SELL | 0.9724503693 | $53.98 |
| 07-09 10:33 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31? | BUY | 0.8645551025 | $48.00 |
| 07-07 22:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.9 | $2.02 |
| 07-07 22:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.86 | $37.53 |
| 07-07 22:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.92 | $33.01 |
| 07-07 22:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.56 |
| 07-07 22:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 07-07 22:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 07-07 21:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.8 | $9.10 |
| 07-07 21:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.92 |
| 07-07 21:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |