0xAc2fD499da4C0c12288923C98DB59043724e372E-1777102107694
0xac2fd499da4c0c12288923c98db59043724e372e
- Realised P&L
- $2.02
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $17.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.295 | $17.96 | −$10.04 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.99 |
| Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launch · No | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 5? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Down | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Laso Finance FDV above $50M one day after launch · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.89at 0.508Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$12.34at 0.716Will France win on 2026-07-04?
- +$0.97at 0.341Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$-5.15at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 21:44 | Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999928 | $28.00 |
| 07-05 19:20 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 07-05 19:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $7.56 |
| 07-05 19:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 19:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.0020233085 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 11:25 | Laso Finance FDV above $50M one day after launch | BUY | 0.0054446461 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 11:25 | Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launch | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 11:16 | Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 22:12 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.7099999989 | $30.88 |
| 07-04 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 04-25 09:12 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.5076698043 | $18.45 |