MartyMc8
0xac2ec45925c33d1ac8bd495300af7053e36895e6
- Realised P&L
- $-686.78
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $31.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.41at 0.300Will "Flow" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$33.60at 0.326Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$16.81at 0.053Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
- +$15.15at 0.785Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$14.73at 0.637Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:06 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.0305181762 | $7.58 |
| 09-25 09:02 | Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 31m? | BUY | 0.1499999986 | $11.00 |
| 08-17 22:15 | Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2899999876 | $13.57 |
| 08-17 21:10 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 08-10 13:48 | Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0959895114 | $4.10 |
| 08-10 13:46 | Will Project Hail Mary win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0693160813 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 18:04 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.41 |
| 07-30 17:45 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.40 |
| 07-30 17:43 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 17:42 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 128m and 136m? | BUY | 0.0905472681 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 17:42 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m? | BUY | 0.0689999685 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 17:42 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be less than 120m? | BUY | 0.0513149455 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 17:41 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0152781182 | $4.72 |
| 07-30 17:40 | Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0767479675 | $5.90 |
| 07-30 17:39 | Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.25 |