PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xac2ACDb20cA3c82Bb0712eCAB8E60e7ac5aEB93f-1778507798262

0xac2acdb20ca3c82bb0712ecab8e60e7ac5aeb93f

Realised P&L
$6.84
Volume
$147.18
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$37.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6? · Yes0.1300.185$1.42+$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 6? · Yes0.2900.385$1.33+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 6? · Yes0.1400.170$1.21+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 7? · Yes0.3200.385$1.20+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6? · No0.6400.745$1.16+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 7? · Yes0.1600.185$1.16+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 7? · No0.5900.645$1.09+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 7? · No0.6500.695$1.07+$0.07
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 6? · Yes0.7200.765$1.06+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6? · No0.3700.375$1.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 7? · No0.8100.820$1.01+$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on October 6? · No0.7500.755$1.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 6? · No0.5400.535$0.99−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 6? · No0.7200.706$0.98−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 7? · No0.6600.645$0.98−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 7?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 6?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 7?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 7?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 7?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 6?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 6?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-05 20:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-05 19:10Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 6?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-05 19:10Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 6?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-05 19:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 7?BUY0.4$1.00
10-05 18:10Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 6?BUY0.1860696362$1.00
10-05 18:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 6?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-05 18:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 6?BUY0.1399999832$1.00