brashbutloveable
0xac27089403345ea1f7bf6e5cb902ce313185c628
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $849.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.180 | $540.00 | −$270.00 |
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.165 | $297.81 | +$6.21 |
| Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.067 | $11.54 | +$2.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.211Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
- +$229.53at 0.236Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$40.81at 0.550Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?
- +$14.34at 0.760Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$13.93at 0.802Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 00:43 | Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0539999998 | $9.30 |
| 09-08 23:00 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5851152065 | $904.54 |
| 09-08 23:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.4 | $340.00 |
| 09-08 22:59 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.51 | $100.62 |
| 09-08 22:59 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.69 | $24.58 |
| 09-08 22:59 | Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.801 | $136.30 |
| 09-04 16:38 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6468626509 | $1000.00 |
| 09-04 16:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5 | $425.00 |
| 08-22 01:17 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $15.68 |
| 06-17 02:27 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $1.76 |
| 06-17 02:26 | Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9092243 | $90.92 |
| 05-19 01:20 | Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | BUY | 0.1538351216 | $25.98 |
| 05-19 01:19 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.22 | $28.94 |
| 05-10 00:21 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $31.57 |
| 02-08 21:38 | Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5712425076 | $390.18 |