PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WR100

0xac26f794b6b7baa2823db9e68caedfef5a5406ff

Realised P&L
$188.15
Volume
$206.0k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$309.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1190.070$211.50$145.50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1500.075$97.50$97.50
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m? · No0.1080.000$0.00$965.98
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$201.48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$20.00
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00$15.60
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$99.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 18:43Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.585$99.45
06-25 08:01Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?BUY0.2508372958$25.64
06-21 21:13Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.1932538218$1000.00
06-11 21:00Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.19$6.27
06-10 06:01Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.076$81.34
06-02 07:57MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.007$140.00
06-02 07:49MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.007$56.00
06-02 07:45MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.007$42.00
06-02 07:43Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.14$42.00
05-31 22:15Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?SELL0.0100354834$18.49
05-29 20:27Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?BUY0.11$99.00
05-29 20:27Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?BUY0.11$165.00
05-29 20:27Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?BUY0.11$572.00
05-29 20:25Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?BUY0.1$53.11
05-26 22:38Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.07$60.68