dubdub1
0xac244803676ffdc9c82b04cb170fb0bad72216b1
- Realised P&L
- $-48.39
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $5.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.32at 0.184Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?
- +$75.06at 0.180Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
- +$55.62at 0.260Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
- +$52.00at 0.004Syria strikes Israel by August 31?
- +$45.90at 0.344Will Trump say "Palestine" during September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 15:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 15:53 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | BUY | 0.1855794702 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 15:50 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1219999802 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 14:30 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.2223294592 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 14:30 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 14:20 | Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 14:19 | Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 14:14 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0948275703 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 23:07 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.556291389 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 23:06 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 23:06 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 01-02 09:18 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2410103152 | $3.00 |
| 01-02 09:18 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.00 |
| 12-19 23:38 | Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.329999972 | $5.18 |
| 12-19 23:37 | Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |