PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dubdub1

0xac244803676ffdc9c82b04cb170fb0bad72216b1

Realised P&L
$-48.39
Volume
$20.4k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$5.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026? · Yes0.1800.075$2.08$2.92
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1000.065$1.30$0.70
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0400.015$1.16$1.84
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? · Yes0.0800.045$1.13$0.88
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$3.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.00
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$5.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00$10.13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$3.00
Israel strikes Iran before 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 15:54Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$2.00
07-23 15:53Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?BUY0.1855794702$5.00
07-23 15:50Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1219999802$5.00
07-23 14:30Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.2223294592$1.00
07-23 14:30Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-23 14:20Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?BUY0.08$2.00
07-23 14:19Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
07-23 14:14Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0948275703$5.00
07-18 23:07Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?BUY0.556291389$15.00
07-18 23:06Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.15$3.00
07-18 23:06Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.359999987$10.00
01-02 09:18US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2410103152$3.00
01-02 09:18Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?SELL0.09$3.00
12-19 23:38Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.329999972$5.18
12-19 23:37Israel strikes Iran before 2026?BUY0.0149999854$1.00