PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

324578

0xac1051c9096f17b34a85f179d6d1e10a2d71f091

Realised P&L
$-14.78
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$17.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.9940.997$10.44+$0.03
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0790.080$6.98+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:27Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.972$14.14
09-15 09:18Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?BUY0.0794950802$6.94
09-14 12:28Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.995$13.51
09-08 10:56Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?BUY0.994$9.22
09-07 18:40Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.996$14.70
09-07 01:03Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?BUY0.9859999995$18.97
09-04 19:15Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?BUY0.9969999998$9.95
09-04 01:03Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.997$11.32
09-02 13:12Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?BUY0.999$6.42
08-30 07:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 30?BUY0.998$15.64
08-27 13:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 27?BUY0.999$13.14
08-23 18:12Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?BUY0.997$5.99
08-23 17:01Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?BUY0.991$11.59
08-20 15:55Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.999$14.93
08-17 11:00Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 17?BUY0.997$12.59