324578
0xac1051c9096f17b34a85f179d6d1e10a2d71f091
- Realised P&L
- $-14.78
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $17.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.994 | 0.997 | $10.44 | +$0.03 |
| Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.080 | $6.98 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.92at 0.954Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?
- +$10.82at 0.747Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9?
- +$10.75at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11?
- +$10.67at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 7?
- +$10.64at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:27 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $14.14 |
| 09-15 09:18 | Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.0794950802 | $6.94 |
| 09-14 12:28 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $13.51 |
| 09-08 10:56 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.22 |
| 09-07 18:40 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.70 |
| 09-07 01:03 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999995 | $18.97 |
| 09-04 19:15 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $9.95 |
| 09-04 01:03 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.32 |
| 09-02 13:12 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.42 |
| 08-30 07:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.64 |
| 08-27 13:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.14 |
| 08-23 18:12 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.99 |
| 08-23 17:01 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $11.59 |
| 08-20 15:55 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.93 |
| 08-17 11:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.59 |