PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rabbyusersuper

0xac0740263bd1e9e324731778beae54e1b8b22d0d

Realised P&L
$-261.65
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$44.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3550.235$26.08−$13.29
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.195$18.53−$11.87
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5950.000$0.00−$8.33
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5730.000$0.00−$73.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 05:14Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.36$30.24
10-18 12:06Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$18.81
10-12 16:22Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999998$31.00
09-08 12:57Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$29.25
08-20 15:46NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5489999972$36.00
08-20 15:32NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.2512501042$30.15
08-20 15:08NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.55$16.49
08-20 15:08NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.56$5.60
07-13 21:01Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.23$4.83
07-13 20:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.91$67.34
07-12 00:13Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.509999915$1.50
07-11 20:59Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.675$29.61
07-09 21:46Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.54$1.00
07-09 16:07Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.49$19.11
07-09 16:07Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.51$4.59