rabbyusersuper
0xac0740263bd1e9e324731778beae54e1b8b22d0d
- Realised P&L
- $-261.65
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $44.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.235 | $26.08 | −$13.29 |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.195 | $18.53 | −$11.87 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.595 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.33 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.573 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$419.07at 0.651Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?
- +$142.27at 0.073Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$29.57at 0.549NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$24.85at 0.669Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$24.21at 0.730Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 05:14 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $30.24 |
| 10-18 12:06 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $18.81 |
| 10-12 16:22 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999998 | $31.00 |
| 09-08 12:57 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $29.25 |
| 08-20 15:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5489999972 | $36.00 |
| 08-20 15:32 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2512501042 | $30.15 |
| 08-20 15:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $16.49 |
| 08-20 15:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 07-13 21:01 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.83 |
| 07-13 20:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $67.34 |
| 07-12 00:13 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.509999915 | $1.50 |
| 07-11 20:59 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.675 | $29.61 |
| 07-09 21:46 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 16:07 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $19.11 |
| 07-09 16:07 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $4.59 |