PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

aph7o

0xac01b4fc708812055b071987cade3e3d8ea62d77

Realised P&L
$-589.14
Volume
$248.2k
Markets traded
836
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded836
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9230.975$1.1k+$57.20
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · Yes0.0430.072$3.63+$1.48
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? · Yes0.0110.029$2.85+$1.75
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0370.142$1.07+$0.79
Kings vs. Celtics · Kings0.0900.000$0.00−$1.08
Will Albania vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$4.00
Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs0.1050.000$0.00−$2.10
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Hornets vs. Pacers · Hornets0.5300.000$0.00−$10.60
Cavaliers vs. 76ers · 76ers0.1530.000$0.00−$1.61
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Under0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$1.56
Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$2.10
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 23:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.65$3.25
09-29 14:43Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.201$1.51
09-25 11:02Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.018$1.08
09-21 23:31Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?SELL0.027$0.22
09-20 23:27Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?SELL0.16$1.60
09-16 17:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$1.20
09-16 16:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$1.00
09-16 15:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$26.40
09-14 16:21Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-07 12:28Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.958$6.71
09-04 18:32Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
09-04 18:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.51$2.55
09-04 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.2299999692$5.00
09-04 06:17Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?SELL0.794$11.91
09-03 07:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.0899999845$5.00