aph7o
0xac01b4fc708812055b071987cade3e3d8ea62d77
- Realised P&L
- $-589.14
- Volume
- $248.2k
- Markets traded
- 836
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded836
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.923 | 0.975 | $1.1k | +$57.20 |
| Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.072 | $3.63 | +$1.48 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.029 | $2.85 | +$1.75 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.142 | $1.07 | +$0.79 |
| Kings vs. Celtics · Kings | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| Will Albania vs. England end in a draw? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Hornets vs. Pacers · Hornets | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.60 |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.153 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.61 |
| Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.56 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.70at 0.593Nuggets vs. Clippers
- +$80.00at 0.170BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
- +$72.35at 0.002Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devils
- +$71.20at 0.452Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?
- +$67.59at 0.139Colts vs. Seahawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-29 14:43 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.201 | $1.51 |
| 09-25 11:02 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.08 |
| 09-21 23:31 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.22 |
| 09-20 23:27 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-16 17:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 16:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.40 |
| 09-14 16:21 | Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 12:28 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.958 | $6.71 |
| 09-04 18:32 | Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 18:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-04 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 06:17 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.794 | $11.91 |
| 09-03 07:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |