TokeyChan
0xabfe613e23bdaa2d71ec75649983daf862696ad4
- Realised P&L
- $-713.57
- Volume
- $84.0k
- Markets traded
- 374
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded374
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.465 | 0.453 | $1.0k | −$27.60 |
| LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner · E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 0.240 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$39.91 |
| LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming - Game 1 Winner · GIANTX iTero | 0.250 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$39.92 |
| LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 0.219 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.74 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner · Dplus KIA Challengers | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · JD Gaming | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner · Nongshim Red Force | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$684.55at 0.594Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$521.81at 0.840Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$178.88at 0.740Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
- +$161.67at 0.200LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$160.27at 0.199LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:41 | LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $1.75 |
| 08-05 15:36 | LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.24 | $1.68 |
| 08-05 08:36 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.24 | $40.00 |
| 08-04 18:58 | LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.22 | $40.00 |
| 08-04 09:26 | LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 08-04 08:30 | LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2170588235 | $18.45 |
| 08-03 10:46 | LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $40.00 |
| 08-03 09:11 | LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $22.96 |
| 08-02 11:42 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.19 | $9.56 |
| 08-02 11:04 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.465 | $534.75 |
| 08-02 10:49 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.465 | $534.75 |
| 08-02 09:26 | LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 08:26 | LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.19 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 07:35 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.19975 | $39.95 |
| 08-01 23:46 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |