TokeyChan
0xabfe613e23bdaa2d71ec75649983daf862696ad4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $91.8k
- Markets traded
- 414
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded414
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.465 | 0.563 | $1.3k | +$224.25 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.004 | $0.48 | −$49.52 |
| Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$684.55at 0.594Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$521.81at 0.840Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$174.91at 0.746Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
- +$161.63at 0.200LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$159.80at 0.201LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 07:43 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 14:20 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.82822511 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 12:50 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 09:01 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.25 |
| 08-11 18:54 | LoL: Lodis vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.24 | $8.40 |
| 08-11 18:27 | LoL: VfB eSports vs Team Orange Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 08-11 16:59 | LoL: Barcząca Esports vs devils.one - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2485625 | $39.77 |
| 08-11 16:18 | LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $40.00 |
| 08-10 22:19 | LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.23 | $38.33 |
| 08-10 18:17 | LoL: Bulldog Esports vs B2U - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.24 | $40.00 |
| 08-10 13:13 | LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.16 | $40.00 |
| 08-10 12:25 | LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.22 | $3.41 |
| 08-10 12:16 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.16 | $40.00 |
| 08-10 11:25 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.1994 | $39.88 |
| 08-10 10:21 | LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |