spodkaposk
0xabfb5d6a41b8e621f1796b49dc7f6a5fc24c12e5
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $2.19M
- Markets traded
- 7,347
- Open portfolio
- $5.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,347
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.11at 0.803US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$56.95at 0.010Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$56.85at 0.014Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$48.44at 0.010Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$48.07at 0.065Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:07 | Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.01 |
| 08-05 02:44 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.274 | $0.27 |
| 08-05 02:43 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.263 | $0.26 |
| 08-04 14:19 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.062 | $0.06 |
| 08-04 06:01 | APYX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.08 |
| 08-04 01:56 | Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 22:23 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 20:09 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.04 |
| 08-02 04:48 | Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 02:15 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 00:47 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.25 |
| 07-31 09:01 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | SELL | 0.389 | $0.39 |
| 07-30 13:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.02 |
| 07-30 04:57 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.18 |
| 07-30 01:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? | SELL | 0.101 | $0.10 |