0xabe9389c928387615405a6d8c61c07c98bbb18ed
0xabe9389c928387615405a6d8c61c07c98bbb18ed
- Realised P&L
- $-31.40
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $7.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.022 | $4.45 | −$0.69 |
| Will Maldives vs. Lebanon end in a draw? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.051 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.024 | $1.03 | −$0.97 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.007 | $0.67 | −$1.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.86 |
| Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.42 |
| Will England win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Up | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.50at 0.682Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:58 | Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.14 |
| 09-30 21:50 | Will Maldives vs. Lebanon end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 21:49 | Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0459999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 21:49 | Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0469999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 21:48 | Will Ghana win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0209999998 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 11:10 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0220338328 | $10.86 |
| 09-26 22:25 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0179338235 | $5.42 |
| 09-26 21:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 21:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 13:42 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.2399999984 | $12.04 |