PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BearKingdom

0xabe78c9711802ea03af9b0fcb7f3f82853fad623

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$851.2k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$272.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5590.969$156.0k+$65.9k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4350.715$57.1k+$22.3k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7500.945$44.7k+$9.2k
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0480.050$8.1k+$248.27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.2360.705$6.5k+$4.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 02:45Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.74$630.52
09-14 02:44Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7364446437$1.7k
09-14 02:42Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7219671701$3.2k
08-28 17:14Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.053$706.78
08-13 01:11Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.206$0.05
08-13 01:10Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.053$858.57
07-19 02:40Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.5997976181$15.9k
07-19 02:05Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.5957491951$801.18
07-18 04:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.59$130.45
07-18 02:47Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.66$530.85
07-17 02:03Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.648820536$860.63
07-16 03:14Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.61$12.8k
07-15 18:30Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.052$15.55
07-15 18:29Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.6179099004$27.5k
07-15 18:12Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.145$288.39