0xabe782ada7f2a76e95299a5f9bdaa6e5bf2bb170
0xabe782ada7f2a76e95299a5f9bdaa6e5bf2bb170
- Realised P&L
- $-3.97
- Volume
- $230.66
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $61.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) · Aston Villa FC | 0.671 | 0.670 | $24.73 | −$0.03 |
| Will Novak Djokovic play a match at the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals? · Yes | 0.978 | 0.256 | $11.98 | −$33.88 |
| Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.981 | 0.967 | $9.44 | −$0.14 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.215 | $5.56 | −$0.18 |
| Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.973 | 0.980 | $4.61 | +$0.03 |
| Will Mikel Brown Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No | 0.980 | 0.983 | $2.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.810 | 1.000 | $1.69 | +$0.32 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup? · No | 0.930 | 0.875 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.097 | $0.83 | −$0.06 |
| Will FC Metz win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will AIK win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.62at 0.492HYPE Up or Down - October 5, 1PM ET
- +$1.43at 0.593Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$1.16at 0.563Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$0.51at 0.741Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$0.34at 0.819Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 13:50 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 14:35 | Will AIK win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 14:32 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-16 10:19 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1029999986 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 10:17 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8979999605 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 10:16 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.102 | $1.36 |
| 10-16 10:13 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.102999999 | $1.37 |
| 10-16 09:00 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.68 | $1.83 |
| 10-15 15:21 | Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.8099998995 | $1.37 |
| 10-10 13:35 | Will FC Metz win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 13:58 | Will CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.8499999433 | $1.50 |
| 10-08 03:01 | Oilers vs. Ducks | SELL | 0.77 | $4.94 |
| 10-08 03:00 | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 07:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.50 |
| 10-06 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |