PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xabe614b6591de1566375d21fb83ab4220410ad92

Realised P&L
$781.88
Volume
$29.4k
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$0.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? · Yes0.4710.115$0.58$1.78
Will David Schweikert win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$3.70
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-11 13:10Brex IPO before 2027?SELL0.15$1.49
02-11 13:10Brex IPO before 2027?SELL0.151$1.53
01-18 16:06Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.054$10.80
01-15 22:34Will Trump say "Biden" during Panthers visit?SELL0.006$0.03
01-15 19:48Will Trump say "Biden" during Panthers visit?BUY0.34$13.60
01-15 19:39Will Trump say "Biden" during Panthers visit?SELL0.37$1.85
01-15 19:38Will Trump say "Biden" during Panthers visit?SELL0.4$8.00
01-15 19:34Will Trump say "Biden" during Panthers visit?BUY0.35$7.00
01-14 08:44Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$0.38
01-11 18:43Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?SELL0.001$0.30
01-11 14:00Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?SELL0.07$1.71
01-10 15:57Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY0.02$1.20
01-10 15:51Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?SELL0.014$0.72
01-10 15:35Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?SELL0.083$4.98
01-10 15:27Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?SELL0.92$4.60